v.

Okocimski Brzesko - Górnik Łęczna

This game in Polish Third League (4th group), between Okocimski Brzesko and Górnik Łęczna, shouldn’t be as tight as odds suggest and I expect quite easy guests win, who are just much, much better. Hosts are of course solid this year as they are sixth with twenty four points, but I doubt that it is promote material and they shouldn’t be able to beat such opponents, even at home. In last round they won against KSZO (2-0), which was quite surprisingly for me, but Ostrowiec is much worse than Górnik and they were also quite unlucky according to local opinions. What’s more today Okocimski will have big problems with squad as probably coach Zbigniew Kordela won’t have in squad Ireneusz Gryboś, Dawid Gnyla, Sergiusz Kostecki and Sławomir Matras, who are quite important for this club, especially that bench isn’t too long. On the other hand Górnik Łęczna is great team, who played in Orange Ekstraklasa last year and they have excellent rooster with players like Jakub Wierzchowski, Paweł Bugała, Sławomir Nazaruk, Veljko Nikitovic or Marcin Rogowski, who played in first league without problems. What’s more Łęczna have magnificent away balance (7-1-1) and I think that today they will continue such streak. They are now on second place with thirty three points (first Hetman have also 33 pts), so they need this win like an air because battle for promote will be tight till final round in my opinion, especially that Przebój (31 pts), Kolejarz (31 pts) and Wieliczka (25 pts) also want to be in second league. I think that @ 1.83 odd on Łęczna is quite good at 10Bet, but I will use only four units here because this is third league, where amazing happens and impossible is nothing.

4 units* Górnik Łęczna

Pick WON, Okocimski - Łęczna; 0-1 FT
(Niżnik 64')
+3.32 units

v.

Wisła Płock - Warta Poznań

This match between Wisła Płock and Warta Poznań is just must win game for hosts and I'm nearly sure that they will do that as they have power to grab three points without a doubt. At the moment they are seventh with thirty two points, but third place, which guarantee promote, is only six points above, so they have still big chances to back to Orange Ekstraklasa, which is of course their main and sole point now. Płock's rooster looks just great with players like Jacek Wiśniewski, Vahan Gevorgyan, Ireneusz Kowalski, Sławomir Peszko or Paweł Sobczak, who are on first league level, being here only for great comeback to Ekstraklasa. Wisła won last match at home against Motor (3-1) quite easy and here it should be similar situation. On the other hand Warta is really weak team, one of the candidates to relegation as they are seventeenth with seventeen points, so I really can't see them to grab even one point, especially away from home with such strong opponent. They are newcomers this year and I think that next year they will be also in that way, but in third league because they are just too poor for second league. Their away performance is just pathetic (1-3-6), so against Wisła they will only try to get 0-0 here, which is impossible as hosts offense is really solid. I'm not sure about -1.25 handicap because with @ 1.80 it isn't big value, but simply home win with @ 1.50 looks like strong bet. Despite of this fact I will use only five units, as it's only beggining of round after winter break.

5 units* Wisła Płock

Pick WON, Płock - Warta; 3-1 FT
(Wiśniewski 5', 74', Mierzejewski 22' - Ngamayama 30')
+2.50 units

v.

Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok

This is the sole game in Polish Orange Ekstraklasa, which looks worth to bet on as bookies set handicaps rather fair and now I doubt that there will be more bets from ther. Only this game between Korona Kielce and Jagiellonia Białystok should bring us an easy cash as -1 handicap with @ 1.83 at Bet365 is much too low as fair line should be above -1.5 or even -1.75 because I expect a really big win for hosts. Korona Kielce have big ambitious this season, and eventough they started this round quite bad, they still have chances for Intertoto or UEFA spot, so I’m sure that they will start winning, especially at home, where they have great support. At the moment they are on fifth place with thirty six points and need a win like an air as second Groclin (44 pts) and third Legia (43 pts) are few points above them. They have great squad with few stars like Grzegorz Bonin, Wojciech Kowalewski, Edi Andradina and Marcin Kaczmarek, so I can't see them not winning this one, especially that in last round against Polonia Bytom (2-0) they were quite solid. On the other hand Jagiellonia is theoretically safe now as they are ninth with twenty seven points, so I doubt that they will fight for points here, especially away from home because coach Artur Płatek said that they will try to play best football only in crucial games, against opponents from bottom of the table. In last game against Sonsowiec (2-1) they did they job excellent, playing with 150% effort in such must win game, so in this one they will probably play without pressure and max engangement. What is more they have several injuries, also striker Vuk Sotirovic is out due to various problems, so I can’t see Jagiellonia to grab even one point here. My call here is 2-0 or 3-0, so -1 asian looks quite safe as Korona should win this one with big ease.

5 units* Korona Kielce (-1)

Pick VOID, Korona - Jagiellonia; 1-0 FT
(Skerla 75')
+0 units

v.

ŁKS Łomża - Odra Opole

In this game will try to catch best odds available, so I must back it as an early bet; with hope that I’m right with it. This game between ŁKS Łomża and Odra Opole should be quite tight, without many goals, but for me guests are favorites here and fair asian should be -0.25; +0 with nice @ 1.84 at Pinnacle looks just too high, so this is a must bet. Hosts are on sixteenth place with only eighteen points and for me they are one of biggest candidates to relegation, their rooster is just really, really poor, only few players are on second league level. In winter break they lost thirteen players because of problems with money and I doubt that now players have something to play for, only youngsters will try to play best football, but they are too weak for such opponents. They lost both matches in this year, against Polonia (1-3) and Znicz (1-3), so in this one it should be similar. On the other hand Odra is much, much better than before break, as they have few good new players as they bought Pape Samba Ba, Filipe, Marcin Józefowicz, Marcin Pontus, Andrew Konopelsky or Mariusz Stępień, so I think that they should at least grab one points here. They drew both matches in 2008, with Górnik Jastrzębie (1-1) and Polonia (1-1), two solid teams, so it is time for a win I think, especially that they have forces and quality to do it. I watched them in previous game and their defense looks pretty decent, while they have few problems with offense, so I doubt that they will concede goals, but also they will score max one or two goals. My predict score here is 0-0 or 0-1, so I will back them with +0 asian handicap and under 2.5 goals with @ 1.71 at Expekt. I hope that guests won’t disappoint me and will end with clean sheet, scoring one or two goals.

6 units* under 2.5 goals

Pick WON, Łomża - Odra; 0-0 FT
(-)
+4.26 units

v.

ŁKS Łomża - Odra Opole

In this game will try to catch best odds available, so I must back it as an early bet; with hope that I’m right with it. This game between ŁKS Łomża and Odra Opole should be quite tight, without many goals, but for me guests are favorites here and fair asian should be -0.25; +0 with nice @ 1.84 at Pinnacle looks just too high, so this is a must bet. Hosts are on sixteenth place with only eighteen points and for me they are one of biggest candidates to relegation, their rooster is just really, really poor, only few players are on second league level. In winter break they lost thirteen players because of problems with money and I doubt that now players have something to play for, only youngsters will try to play best football, but they are too weak for such opponents. They lost both matches in this year, against Polonia (1-3) and Znicz (1-3), so in this one it should be similar. On the other hand Odra is much, much better than before break, as they have few good new players as they bought Pape Samba Ba, Filipe, Marcin Józefowicz, Marcin Pontus, Andrew Konopelsky or Mariusz Stępień, so I think that they should at least grab one points here. They drew both matches in 2008, with Górnik Jastrzębie (1-1) and Polonia (1-1), two solid teams, so it is time for a win I think, especially that they have forces and quality to do it. I watched them in previous game and their defense looks pretty decent, while they have few problems with offense, so I doubt that they will concede goals, but also they will score max one or two goals. My predict score here is 0-0 or 0-1, so I will back them with +0 asian handicap and under 2.5 goals with @ 1.71 at Expekt. I hope that guests won’t disappoint me and will end with clean sheet, scoring one or two goals.

5 units* Odra Opole (+0)

Pick VOID, Łomża - Odra; 0-0 FT
(-)
+0 units

v.

Nadnarwianka Pułtusk - Dolcan Ząbki

This game in Polish Third League, between Nadnarwianka Pułtusk and Dolcan Ząbki should end with quite easy guests win and I think that it is more or less +0.5; -0.5 game, so -0.25 with @ 1.78 looks juicy. Hosts are just mediocre this year and even at home they are too weak for such opponents and I can't imagine them to grab three points here; one point will be big thing for this team I think. Dolcan is one of the candidates to promote, so I think that only three points will make them happy, especially that rivals are quite easy to beat. In Ząbki are few new good players, in higher level than third league, so they should start winning quick and soon. For me this offer have value and is surely worth a shot, I can't see here full loss. This is battle between 13th and 3rd team in league, so I must go with Dolcan.

5 units* Dolcan Ząbki (-0.25)

Pick LOST, Nadnarwianka - Dolcan; 1-1 FT
(Janusiński 85' - Górecki 90')
-2.50 units

v.

Znicz Pruszków - ŁKS Łomża

This game between Znicz Pruszków and ŁKS Łomża, should be rather easy win for hosts, who are much, much better than rivals. They bought few nice players in winter break like Adrian Paluchowski, Tomasz Feliksiak, Dawid Florian or Adrian Bieniek, so I think that they should be even more solid than before break; I must admit that they are biggest surprise this year as a newcomer, they are sixth with thirty two points. In last game they played quite good against solid GKS Katowice (0-0), so I see them winning this one. Guests are really poor, being fifteenth with eighteen points and they haven't got quality players to play, they lost thirteen players because of problems with money. In previous round they lost against Polonia Warszawa (1-3) at home with ease, so today, playing away from Łomża, I can't imagine them grabing even one point. In first meeting between those two, Pruszków won quite easy (4-2) away from home, so they should repeat it as well at home. They have good coach, nice and young rooster with big motivate, so asian handicap -1 on Znicz is great call for me, especially that @ 2.04 at Pinnacle looks really juicy.

5 units* Znicz Pruszków (-1)

Pick WON, Znicz - Łomża; 3-1 FT
(Lewandowski 62', Paluchowski 71', Kaczmarek 90' - Gołębiewski 84')
+5.20 units

v.

Polonia Bytom - Korona Kielce

This game between Polonia Bytom and Korona Kielce is rather not very interesting for average fan of Polish league, but I see in this one really good bet on guests, who are just much, much better than rivals. Polonia Bytom is a biggest surprise in our first league for a while as they hadn't got money, quality rooster, but still they advanced there and playing quite effective football because now they are on fourteenth place with eighteen points, which is above relegation zone, so they are happy with it. They didn't buy anyone who can be on Ekstraklasa level, all players are just weak and I don't see them on first league pitches. Overall their rooster is really short and poor, with only few quality players like Marcin Radzewicz, Rafał Grzyb, Walerij Sokolenko or Michał Zieliński, as rest of the team is inexperience. In this round they managed to grab four points, which is big number for them, but win against poor Zagłębie Sosnowiec (1-0) and draw with unstable Cracovia (1-1) isn't their huge success, especially that in last game, against solid Groclin (0-5) they lost with really pathetic performance. On the other hand Korona Kielce have big ambitious, but nowadays they are out of form, so they just must start winning as eurocups could gone with ease this season. At the moment they are on fifth place with thirty three points and need a win like an air as second Groclin (41 pts) and third Legia (40 pts) are few points above them. Guests have great squad with few stars like Grzegorz Bonin, Wojciech Kowalewski, Edi Andradina and Marcin Kaczmarek, so I can't see them losing this one, even away from home, without good form. Of course their last two games – against Ruch Chorzów (0-2) and Odra Wodzisław (0-1) were bad for them, but with Wisła Kraków (1-1) they played good football and I expect the same in this one as coach Jacek Zieliński is in big danger. In first meeting between those two, Korona won with ease (4-0) so in this one I doubt that they won't grab even one point. They are one class above Polonia and should prove it on pitch, winning this one, being also closer to UEFA or Intertoto.

5 units* Korona Kielce (-0.25)


Pick WON, Polonia - Korona; 0-2 FT
(Andradina 45', Zabłocki 88')
+4.40 units

v.

Lech Poznań - Wisła Kraków

This game between Lech Poznań and Wisła Kraków is the best match in 21st round, but I don't see this one as a 50-50 match or even quite tight meeting; guests should be favorites here without a doubt. Hosts are of course really solid, have thirty eight points so far, being on fourth place, but nowadays they just don't look as good as before winter break. They are fighting for UEFA or Intertoto spot, so need points like an air, especially that rivalry is quite big (Groclin, Legia, Korona and Bełchatów), but I can't see them to grab three points here although home side is a big card for them as they have one of the best fans in Poland. In last two round they didn't played good as draws against Widzew Łódź (1-1) and Zagłębie Lubin (0-0) at home are not satisfactory for them and even coach Franciszek Smuda said that there is something wrong with his players. I can say that they didn't make any transfers as both – players in (Tomasz Bandrowski and Anderson) and players out (Iljan Micanski, Arkadiusz Czarnecki, Tomasz Midzierski and Dawid Florian) are more or less useless for Lech. In this game they have only one player out – Ivan Djurdjevic, who is starter defender, but I don't think that it is important miss as Poznań's rooster is quite long. On the other hand Wisła Kraków is just much better team than opponents and even away from home I can't imagine them to lose this one as one points is really minimal achievement here. They had impressive first round with 15-2-0 balance and now they are continue in this way as well and at the moment their rooster is much better than before winter transfers. They bought few great players like Radosław Matusiak, Wojciech Łobodziński or Junior Diaz, who are just stars in Orange Ekstraklasa; first two are starters in national team. They lost also few solid players like Piotr Cwielong, Jacob Burns or Micheal Thwaite, but with such rooster they were just useless, even that last two are Australian representants. So far in last three matches they had two wins, with GKS Bełchatów (2-0) and Widzew Łódź (1-0) and one draw, with Korona Kielce (1-1) so for me they are in quite good form. They should be better and better following each round as they will be more adjusted to working together as overall they have huge potential. They are thinking about Champions League, so I think that Lech Poznań, shouldn't be big problem for them, however motivation can be quite low as they are fourteen points above second Groclin Grodzisk. What is interesting Wisła didn't lose with this opponent last three times in a row in league (4-2, 0-0 and 3-3), so this one should be really similar.

5 units* Wisła Kraków (+0)


Pick WON, Lech - Wisła; 1-2 FT
(Henriquez 40' - Zieńczuk 14', Brożek 70')
+3.15 units

v.

Odra Opole - Polonia Warszawa

This game between Odra Opole and Polonia Warszawa will be one of the most interesting in this round, but I really doubt that fans will see many goals as especially hosts love defense football. Odra is quite average team, being tenth with twenty five points and their main card is solid defense; in offense they are rather poor even at home. Statistics are clear here, they have only 0.9 goals per game, also conceded 1.1 goals per game, which is really, really low number. Most their games in this season went under 2.5 goals line, so there should be similar as coach Rob Delahije will try to draw this one. In first round after winter break they drew against Górnik Jastrzębie (1-1) after slow game and I must say that match was boring. They are better now than in previous round as they bought few good players like Pape Samba Ba, Filipe, Marcin Józefowicz, Marcin Pontus and Andrew Konopelsky so they should stop guests offense here; I don’t expect more than one goal for Opole here. On the other hand Polonia is one of main candidates to advance as they are fourth with thirty five points and they have really good rooster. Despite of this fact I don’t see them winning this one with ease as away from home they aren’t as strong as at home, so I can’t see them scoring more than one goal. In previous game they won with ŁKS Łomża (3-1) but rivals are just disastrous and there were not defense; this should be opposite match, with great defense, slow tempo and only few actions in whole ninety minutes. They bought few Ekstraklasa’s level players like Krzysztof Kazimierczak, Grzegorz Piechna and Mariusz Liberda, but they are not a good team so far with great offense, they rather struggle with good defenses. In first meeting between those two this season Polonia won (2-0) at home and today it should be also one or two goals. Under 2.5 is a best choice in whole second league I think and I will back this one with six units.

6 units* under 2.5 goals


Pick WON, Odra - Polonia; 1-1 FT
(Pape Samba Ba 89' - Piątek 45')
+4.50 units